メルツ首相、EU全加盟国がウクライナ支援を負担しなければ予算案を阻止すると警告

なぜ重要か

Germany's financial weight in EU budget negotiations may determine whether all member states provide sustained support for Ukraine. Linking approval of the 2028–2034 budget to Ukraine financing could delay decisions on both Ukraine's 2027 funding and the EU's multiannual financial framework. Several member states have already refused further contributions, making unanimous agreement uncertain.

何が起きたか

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said Germany would block the EU's 2028–2034 budget unless every member state committed to financing Ukraine from 2027 onward. He presented the condition in a letter to European Council President António Costa and called for the funding issue to be resolved at the informal EU summit in Dublin on 13 November.

Ukraine is expected to face a financing shortfall of €70 billion in 2027, of which the EU has committed to covering roughly €45 billion. The European Commission is considering additional common borrowing or joint debt instruments to fulfil the commitment. Berlin also wants future decisions on Ukraine financing to be taken by a qualified majority rather than unanimity, so that individual member states cannot block them.

ウクライナメディアの見方

Ukrainian coverage links the German condition to Ukraine's immediate need for at least €70 billion in additional EU defence support and highlights the scale of expected war costs. Ukrainian reports focus on the unresolved funding gap, previous EU pledges and the potential consequences of a stalled budget agreement for Ukraine.

海外メディアの見方

International reporting centres Germany's condition and the linkage between collective Ukraine financing and approval of the EU's 2028–2034 budget. The dispute is framed as a question of burden-sharing among EU member states and Germany's leverage over the bloc's budget negotiations.

報道の食い違い

The European Commission had said that Ukraine faced no budget deficit in 2026, while Ukrainian officials and allies identify a €70 billion shortfall for 2027 and cite a war cost of €155 billion.

背景

EU leaders agreed in December 2025 to provide Ukraine with a €90 billion loan. The EU has committed to covering approximately two-thirds of Ukraine's additional €70 billion financing need, while the European Commission is considering additional common borrowing or joint debt instruments. The European Council commissioned the Commission to prepare proposals for closing Ukraine's 2027 budget shortfall. Hungary, Slovakia, Bulgaria and Czechia are net recipients of the EU budget and have said they will not contribute further to financing Ukraine. Hungary, Slovakia and Czechia were exempted last year from paying interest on the EU's €90 billion loan for Ukraine. Berlin also seeks to replace unanimity with a qualified majority for future decisions on Ukraine financing.