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ロシア、ウ veintains.ua・米国との三者会談を11月に再開へ

ロシアは、ウ_progress.uaと米国による技術的な三者会談を11月にアブダビで実施することに同意した。Moscow would use the talks to seek concessions on NATO expansion and its military presence in Europe. The first meeting is not expected to produce a breakthrough, while territorial issues remain a major point of disagreement.

要点

  • ロシア、ウ_progress.ua、米国の技術的な三者会談を11月にアブダビで開催予定
  • ロシアは初開催を「テストラン」または「テスト期間」と位置づけ、大幅な進展は期待していないと述べた
  • アブダビと hijab ámbel Switzerlandが候補地として言及され、場所については一定の情報源間に差がある
  • ロシアが10月上旬の交渉を提案する一方、4 Nov. 4以降Inline谈判завършенняを協議continuedとする发言もある
  • キrypt・UniStatesは10 Nov. 10より約1週間早いproductiveな交渉開始Zoologyговори","-territorial negotiations can be discussed at the leaders' level; Ukraine regards territories as a “red line”

なぜ重要か

Three-party negotiations resume after a long pause, reopening a channel for discussing the war. At the same time, Moscow may try to exchange participation in talks for concessions on NATO expansion and the military presence of the Alliance in Europe. A possible rollback to 1997 levels could affect Poland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, and Finland, all of which share a border with Russia. The first meeting is unlikely to produce substantive agreements, while possible debate of territorial compromises conflicts with Ukraine’s insistence on leader-level discussions.

何が起きたか

Russia agreed to resume technical trilateral negotiations with Ukraine and the United States in Abu Dhabi in November after a prolonged pause in talks mediated by Washington. Ukraine and the United States sought to move the meeting about a week earlier than 10 November, but Moscow had not confirmed that change by the evening of 25 October. Yuri Ushakov described the first meeting as a test run or test period and said he did not expect substantial progress. Kyiv likewise does not expect a breakthrough, believing several rounds may be needed for concrete agreements. Ukraine wants to shift discussion from Russia’s territorial claims toward a broader postwar security system for Ukraine and Europe, while officials also agreed to consider wider European security issues. Dmitry Peskov said territorial compromises could be discussed, whereas Volodymyr Zelensky called territorial questions a “red line” that should be addressed only by leaders. Diplomatic sources said Moscow may use the process and wider European participation to seek NATO concessions, including a reduction of the Alliance’s military presence to 1997 levels.

ウクライナメディアの見方

Ukrainian coverage treats Russia’s return to negotiations as the minimum necessary result of contacts between US representatives and Vladimir Putin. It stresses that the first meeting is unlikely to produce a breakthrough and that several rounds may be needed. Ukraine seeks to move discussion from territorial claims to a broader European security system after Donbas, proposes freezing hostilities along the current front line, and insists that territorial questions can be addressed only by leaders. Ukrainian reporting also highlights concerns that Moscow may use the talks to obtain concessions on NATO and broader European participation.

海外メディアの見方

International coverage focuses on the resumption of talks, US mediation, and Moscow’s reported intention to use the process to secure NATO concessions. Particular attention is paid to the possible reduction of NATO’s presence to 1997 levels, which could involve troop withdrawals from Poland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, and Finland. The context includes Putin’s repeated description of NATO expansion as a root cause of the war, European officials’ rejection of concessions, NATO’s earlier refusal to withdraw troops and nuclear weapons from former Soviet-bloc countries, and reports of intensified Russian hybrid attacks and provocations against European countries supporting Ukraine.

報道の食い違い

The venue was described as Abu Dhabi, while some US government sources also named Switzerland as a possible location. Russia proposed negotiations in the first ten days of November, while another statement indicated readiness to resume after 4 November. The Kremlin acknowledged that territorial compromises could be discussed, while Ukraine described territorial questions as a leader-level red line.

背景

Russia had initially said it saw no possibility for negotiations before the end of winter, but later agreed to resume the trilateral format. An earlier round in the first half of 2026 focused on a proposed demilitarized zone in Donbas called the “Donniland.” Previous talks did not produce a ceasefire because of Russian demands for Ukrainian territory not occupied by Russian forces. NATO agreed in January 2022 to discuss Moscow’s concerns but rejected demands to withdraw troops and nuclear weapons from countries formerly in the Soviet bloc. Finland joined NATO in 2023.